mardi 30 septembre 2008

TOTAL INVESTIT À MADAGASCAR

17/09/2008

Le premier groupe pétrolier français est devenu ce mercredi actionnaire majoritaire d'un permis d'exploitation de sables bitumineux à Madagascar, en signant un avec Madagascar Oil, détenteur du permis depuis 2004.

Situé à Bemolonga (à 300 km au nord-ouest d'Antananarivo), le gisement couvre une superficie d'environ 6 500 km2 et "contient des accumulations de sables bitumineux développables par technologie minière et évaluées à plus de 10 milliards de barils", précise un communiqué. A l'issue de la transaction, Total deviendra l'opérateur du permis.

Du pétrole lourd dans dix ans

"Nous considérons que l'évolution de l'offre et de la demande de pétrole justifiera des prix élevés, et dans ces conditions, l'exploitation des sables bitumineux est justifiée", a déclaré à l'AFP, Yves-Louis Darricarrère, directeur général exploration et production de Total, lors de la signature du contrat. Deux premières phases d'appréciations, de deux ans chacune, sont prévues, avec notamment la construction d'un site pilote nécessitant un investissement de plus de 100 millions de dollars.

Le groupe, déjà présent surl'Ile dans la distribution, l'avitaillement et la logistique pétrolière, espère produire les premiers barils de pétrole lourd dans une dizaine d'années. En mars dernier, Madagascar Oil, groupe basé à Houston (Etats-Unis) et domicilié aux Bermudes, a produit ses premiers barils de pétrole lourd malgache, sur le site de Tsimiroro, voisin de Bemolanga, où les évaluations techniques se poursuivent.

lundi 29 septembre 2008

Percée des produits halal à La Réunion

CLICANOO.COM | Publié le 29 septembre 2008

Au-delà des classiques boucheries et restaurants, les produits et services conformes au rite musulman se développent à la Réunion comme en France, où le marché explose. Sur l’île, un magasin de surgelés exclusivement halâl a ouvert en novembre à Saint-Denis et une marque spécifique de volailles a été lancée en avril par Crête d’or. Quant au premier support d’assurance vie 100 % Shariah compatible proposé depuis juin par la BFCOI, il a largement dépassé ses objectifs de collecte. Grâce à Dieu ?

On est loin aujourd’hui du tollé qu’avait suscité dans une partie de l’opinion à la fin des années 1990 l’initiative de Crête d’Or. L’entreprise avait décidé d’apposer sur ses emballages une étiquette certifiant le caractère halâl de ses volailles. "Certains consommateurs non-musulmans ont complètement rejeté l’idée, raconte Maurice Cerisola, ancien président de la société. 

À l’époque, Aude Palant-Vegoz a donc organisé une émission débat à la radio où Monseigneur Aubry et moi-même avons parlé du monothéisme et de l’importance des signes religieux." À la suite de cette intervention, certains magasins ont tout de même insisté pour que Crête d’Or retire ses étiquettes. D’autres les ont laissées. 

"Depuis, l’opinion a évolué", observe Maurice Cerisola. Et le marché des produits halâl aussi. 

Si son explosion apparaît mondiale, sa progression est favorisée à la Réunion par l’existence de 70 000 Réunionnais à confession musulmane, soit environ 9 % de la population, dont la majorité habite dans le Nord de l’île, l’autre moitié se partageant essentiellement entre le Sud et dans une moindre mesure l’Est et l’Ouest. 

Les boucheries halâl installées de longue date, ainsi qu’une quarantaine de restaurants non seulement de couscous ou de tagines, mais aussi des snacks et des pizzerias religieusement corrects ne sont donc plus les seuls à avoir investi le marché. Crête d’or a lancé en avril la marque "Al Halâl" de produits frais de charcuterie et de volailles. 

Bien que l’entreprise ait toujours respecté le rituel musulman de l’abattage pour l’ensemble de sa production, elle a voulu en démarquer une partie, immédiatement identifiable en rayon. Pour cela, ses produits ont été certifiés par la commission de surveillance du halâl de la Réunion (voir encadré ci-dessous), après la réorganisation d’une partie de ses procédés de fabrication. 

"Il nous a fallu, par exemple, supprimer un colorant, précise-t-on. Les contrôles de la CSHR sont particulièrement rigoureux." Le lancement d’une marque distincte par Crête d’Or présente un double-avantage puisque d’une part, elle offre une garantie bien visible pour les musulmans du caractère halâl certifié du produit. D’autre part, elle permet d’éviter de "froisser les consommateurs non-musulmans qui, pour certains, ne conçoivent pas que des prières d’une religion, a fortiori différente de la leur, puissent être récitées pendant l’abattage des animaux", explique-t-on. 

Si la société n’a pas souhaité communiquer de chiffres en raison du caractère "jeune" de la marque, elle observe, au même titre que les acteurs de la distribution, que les musulmans continuent plus volontiers de fréquenter les boucheries halâl indépendantes que les grandes surfaces pour acheter leur viande. 

Ainsi, chez Vindémia (enseignes Score, leader dans le département), les produits halâl ne représentent pas plus d’1 % des ventes de viande fraîche, boucherie et charcuterie confondues. "Les ventes en charcuterie, bien qu’elles restent relativement minimes, connaissent un essor depuis un an, souligne-t-on chez Vindémia. 

En revanche, la boucherie stagne. Selon nous, la communauté musulmane continue à se fournir dans les commerces de proximité pour des raisons d’habitude et de solidarité intercommunautaire avec les petits bouchers halâl." 

Dans ce contexte, Vindémia n’affiche pas d’ambition de développer le marché et se contente de "suivre l’évolution", précise-t-on. Mais depuis ces derniers mois, l’agroalimentaire, la restauration et la distribution ne sont plus les seuls secteurs à proposer des produits halâl. 

En milieu d’année, le premier contrat d’assurance-vie 100 % Shariah compatible de France a été créé par la BFCOI. Un appel public à l’épargne en finance islamique a été lancé entre le 29 février et le 2 juin derniers. Depuis, l’initiative a remporté l’adhésion de plus de 200 souscripteurs locaux, pour une collecte de 15,7 millions d’euros. 

"Notre objectif de 10 millions d’euros a été largement dépassé", commente Jérôme de Fresne, responsable de la gestion de patrimoine pour la BFCOI. Et ce, sans que la banque ait eu besoin d’investir un seul denier dans la communication sur ce placement accessible à partir d’un dépôt de 10 000 euros. Et selon Jérôme de Fresnes, "le succès ne se dément pas. Trois mois après le lancement du support Shariah Liquidité, déclare-t-il, nous constatons un nombre extrêmement réduit de demandes de retrait de fonds, soit moins de 5 % des souscripteurs. Par ailleurs, nous avons reçu un nombre significatif de nouvelles demandes de réservation auxquelles nous donnerons probablement suite dans un proche avenir. " 

Condition sine qua non de sa validité, le support répond aux principes de la finance islamique, en tête desquels figure l’interdiction de l’intérêt, de la spéculation et des actifs illicites au plan des préceptes religieux (pas de porc, de pornographie, de jeux de hasard ni de boissons alcoolisées). "Le mécanisme du support est simple, explique le responsable à la BFCOI. Il s’agit d’acheter des matières premières licites et de les revendre. On ne parle donc pas d’intérêt mais de gain commercial, et pas non plus de spéculation car une marge est intégrée au prix de vente."

“MOINS POUR LE GAIN QUE POUR L’ÉTHIQUE”

Si la rémunération sensiblement inférieure aux autres placements monétaires n’a pas fait office de repoussoir, c’est parce que selon Jérôme de Fresnes, "ce support véhicule une image positive de l’islam, déclare-t-il. 

Le support a généralement été souscrit par des érudits de la communauté locale pour valoriser l’aspect éthique de leur religion." Précurseur dans le domaine des placements financiers islamistes en France, la BFCOI est invitée au second forum islamique qui se déroulera à Paris en novembre. 

"Depuis longtemps, en France, on envisage d’importer une banque islamique, explique Jérôme de Fresne. Par conséquent, l’alternative que nous avons choisie à la Réunion interpelle. En tant que banque de réseau, nous avons réussi quelque chose de remarquable." De là à dire que faire du halâl tient de la recette miracle... 

Le placement Shariah compatible lancé le 1er août par la BNP a remporté moins de succès et n’a pas atteint ses objectifs en terme de collecte. Si l’établissement bancaire ne remet pas en question l’attrait de son produit, elle attribue plutôt son démarrage décevant à la conjoncture économique mondiale considérablement dégradée ces dernières semaines par la crise financière, ainsi qu’à l’importance du montant minimum de l’investissement - 50 000 euros. 

Même si elle craint que la clientèle ciblée puisse être tentée, dans les prochains mois, de profiter des dernières opérations de défiscalisation Girardin à taux plein dans l’immobilier pour investir son argent, elle veut encore croire en son produit. 

Bref, le marché du halâl semble avoir de beaux jours devant lui. En métropole, des produits laitiers, des eaux en bouteille, du Champagne et même des bonbons Haribo sont depuis peu estampillés halâl. Même si ce genre d’initiative est parfois consédérée comme excessive au sein même de la communauté musulmane, une chose est sûre, spiritualité et business réunis sur un tandem ont toutes les chances de faire un bon bout de route...

La commission de surveillance du halâl de la Réunion
La commission de surveillance du halâl de la Réunion (CSHR) a été mise en place sous forme de GIE (Groupement d’intérêt économique) par le Conseil régional du culte musulman (CRCM) et le centre islamique de la Réunion (CIR). Elle a labellisé en novembre 2007 l’abattoir Ducheman-Grondin de Saint-Pierre. Aujourd’hui, elle affirme continuer "ses efforts vis-à-vis des acteurs locaux de l’agroalimentaire, industriels, pâtissiers, restaurateurs, afin que ceux-ci puissent offrir une gamme de plus en plus large de produits à présenter à la marque "Halâl Réunion" et proposer ainsi aux musulmans réunionnais de meilleures garanties et un meilleur choix quant à la consommation halâl."

samedi 27 septembre 2008

S.Africa rand firms vs dollar, watches global markets

Thu 25 Sep 2008

South Africa's rand firmed against an ailing dollar on Thursday and will look to global markets for direction while keeping track of local political developments after President Thabo Mbeki's resignation.

The rand weakened some 2.5 percent against the dollar on Tuesday, ahead of Wednesday's public holiday in South Africa, after news that several ministers including Finance Minister Trevor Manuel had quit in the wake of Mbeki's resignation.

The currency however recovered some ground after Manuel indicated he was willing to serve under a new president. An interim president is due to be sworn in on Thursday.

At 0636 GMT, the rand traded 0.46 percent stronger at 8.1365 to the greenback after closing in New York on Wednesday at 8.1743.

This followed the dollar's slide against the euro and the yen on lingering uncertainty over the U.S. government's proposed $700 billion bank bailout plan and worries about the impact of a credit crunch on the world's biggest economy.

Political uncertainty stemming from Mbeki's resignation, after the ruling ANC withdrew support following a judge's suggestion of official interference in a graft case against Jacob Zuma, who beat Mbeki to the ANC leadership last December, would keep the rand unsettled, Absa Capital said. "In our view, we continue to expect rand volatility and some weakness on domestic developments," it said in a note. "But that weakness is likely to be tempered by international market developments and the potential for large FDI inflows in coming weeks."

By 0638 GMT, before the market opening at 0700 GMT, South Africa's blue chip Top-40 December futures contract was down 1.46 percent, suggesting a weak start for the local bourse.

Government bonds firmed with the rand. The yield on the benchmark 2015 was down 5.5 basis points at 8.885 percent while that for the 2036 note shed 6 basis points to 8.165 percent.

The south african new ministers

Beeld, 26 September 2008

President Kgalema Montlanthe has made nine new appointments in his Cabinet. Here's who they are:

Minister of Health: Barbara Hogan
Hogan is a somewhat surprising but popular choice. She is known primarily as chairperson of the influential portfolio committee on finances (from 1999 to 2004.) She was moved to the background after sharp disagreement with Finance Minister Trevor Manuel about Parliament's role in budget matters and the amendment of the so-called finance laws.Hogan joined the ANC in 1976 after the Soweto uprising and in 1982 was the first woman in South Africa to be found guilty of treason. She was sentenced to 10 years imprisonment and was released in 1990 after which she played a big role in the creation of the ANC structures in Gauteng.As member of Parliament, she played a leading role in many ad hoc committees and investigations. Her most recent role was as chairperson of the committee into the Auditor General.

Minister of Public Works: Geoff Doidge
One of the most popular parliamentarians, Doidge is deeply respected for his impartial stance in the often-hot seat of the National Assembly.
Throughout his parliamentary career, he featured more in chairperson positions than portfolio ones, but his appointment will be popular in political circles.

Minister of Justice and Constitutional Development: Enver Surty
Surty's competent job as deputy minister of education will be disputed by few. He was a legal representative in anti-apartheid cases and has a masters degree in law. He is from the North West. As a politician, he has represented the ANC in constitutional negotiations, specifically on a charter for human rights. Surty was chief whip of the ANC in the National Council of Provinces until his appointment as deputy minister in 2004.

Minister of Intelligence: Dr Siyabonga Cwele
This passionate Zuma supporter takes over the highly sensitive portfolio overseeing espionage in the country. He is a medical doctor from Port Shepstone on the KZN south coast and was chairperson of the parliamentary portfolio committee on intelligence. It is a committee which usually meets behind closed doors and it is therefore difficult to determine its efficacy, but during the yearly budget debates, opposition members were very complimentary about him.Cwele was prominent in the creation of the parliamentary report about the controversial Browse Mole report, which chastised the Scorpions for the campaign against ANC leader Jacob Zuma and which preceded the resignation of former Scorpions chief, Advocate Leonard McCarthy.

Minister of Public Service and Administration: Richard Baloyi
He replaces Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi who stepped down as MP. Baloyi has been an MP since 1999 and was serving in the portfolio committee for the public service and administration. Before 1994, he was involved in the far Northern Transvaal in the UDF and after the first democratic election, was elected to the provincial leadership of the ANC. He has a BA degree. His branch office was in Phalaborwa in Limpopo.

Deputy Minister of Health: Dr Molefi Sefularo
This medical doctor from North West replaces axed deputy Nozizwe Madlala-Routledge and has degrees from Medunsa, Wits and the University of Cape Town (MBA). He is currently on the portfolio committee of trade and industry.

Minister of Safety and Security: Nathi Mthethwa
He was the ANC chief whip in the National Assembly and replaces Charles Nqakula, who moves to another portfolio. Mthethwa quickly rose in the ANC and is regarded as an efficient worker. He had several leadership positions in the ANC parliamentary caucus and has been involved with the then-illegal ANC in KZN since the age of 15. He became an MP in 2002 and before his appointment as chief whip, was the chairperson of the portfolio committee of minerals and energy.

Minister of Provincial and Local Government: Sicelo Shiceka
This jovial Gautenger replaces Sydney Mufamadi, who stepped down. He was an MEC for local government in the provincial government after 1994. In 2004 he was appointed as the permanent Gauteng representative to the National Council of Provinces and serves as the chairperson of Parliament's collective committee on local government and administration. In December he was elected to the ANC's National Executive Council. He also serves on the collective ethics committee.

Deputy Minister of Defence: Fezile Bhengu
He is an MP for Port St Johns in the Eastern Cape and serves as chairperson of the portfolio committee of defence. He replaces Mluleki George, who stepped down. He has been an MP since 1994 and was known to regular criticise then minister of public works Stella Sigcau on her department's poor record. He was active on branch level in the former Transkei and has a B. Juris degree.

Motlanthe elected South African president

Mail & Guardian, 25 September 2008

The deputy president of the African National Congress (ANC), Kgalema Motlanthe, was elected President of South Africa in the National Assembly on Thursday by 269 votes to the 50 cast for the chairperson of the Democratic Alliance, Joe Seremane.

There were 41 spoilt ballots.

As the result was announced there was a tumultuous outbreak of singing and dancing from the ANC benches.

The result of the secret ballot of MPs was announced by Chief Justice Pius Langa, who took the chair for the election.

Motlanthe then walked through to Tuynhuys, the presidential offices in Cape Town to take the oath of office.

Known as "the elder brother" for his level-headed approach to even the roughest political waters, Motlanthe was one of the first to enter the house and walked in quietly, with no fanfare.

ANC president Jacob Zuma and other political heavyweights sat in a packed public gallery, while groups of parliamentarians sang and danced as they entered the house.

Motlanthe will guide the country towards elections due next year while aiming to bridge the gaping divide within the ANC.

Motlanthe attended Mbeki's last Cabinet meeting on Wednesday, trying to send a message of continuity within the government after a third of the county's top leaders, including the country's deputy president, resigned in solidarity.

Fraser-Moleketi, Didiza resign

Two of the ministers who resigned but who the ANC said were willing to serve in Cabinet again, indicated on Thursday they were in fact not available for re-appointment.

Public Service and Administration Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi and Public Works Minister Thoko Didiza have both resigned as members of Parliament.

This is contrary to a statement by ANC secretary general Gwede Mantashe earlier this week that Didiza and Fraser-Moleketi were among seven ministers who resigned following Mbeki's departure, but who were still available for re-appointment.

Fourteen Cabinet ministers resigned in total, but Mantashe said seven of them were willing to serve in Kgalema Motlanthe's Cabinet.

After the announcement of the 14 resignations, Mantashe told reporters he had done "a simple exercise" and phoned all those ministers who had resigned.

"We spoke to everyone on that list. Having done that, we can confirm that there's no crisis. Six of the ministers have confirmed they would not come back," he told reporters in Johannesburg.

But Fraser-Moleketi's spokesperson Ramona Baijnath said: "That was misinformation. She's not available at all. They [the ANC] had it wrong."

Didiza's spokesperson, Thami Mchunu, said she had resigned.

"The minister has resigned as a member of Parliament. She has resigned from the National Assembly as an MP effective from last night [Wednesday].

"If the minister is a not a member of the National Assembly, she cannot be a member of the executive. Do you get that?," he asked, declining to answer any other questions.

Fraser-Moleketi's office announced her resignation as MP in a statement.

"The former minister has expressed her availability to assist the incoming administration in the hand-over process and with any other assistance that might be sought from her," the statement read.

She thanked Thabo Mbeki for the opportunity to serve the country under him.

"I would like to express my unequivocal appreciation to the former president for his inspired leadership and the confidence that he placed in me by appointing me to various ministerial positions," she said.

Fraser-Moleketi congratulated Motlanthe, saying they had had a "long and productive working relationship spanning the course of her political career".

She added that she would always remain a "committed member of the ANC".

Motlanthe was expected to name his new Cabinet after being sworn in on Thursday.

Zuma on Wednesday insisted that the resignations had not sent the country into crisis.

"There is no problem, the situation is under control, there must be no panic," he said on e.tv news.

Zuma is widely expected to be voted into the country's top office in elections next year.

Court ruling

Mbeki bowed to a call to resign from the presidency following a damning court ruling that hinted he was instrumental in a decision to prosecute his long-time rival, Zuma, whom he fired as the country's deputy president in 2005.

He has denied the allegations and is appealing that aspect of the ruling in a bid to clear his name from the insinuation of judicial meddling.

In a farewell letter to his Cabinet published on Thursday in the Star, Mbeki said he had accepted the ANC's decision in the interests of South Africa and without "resistance or rancour".

The sudden end to Mbeki's nine-year administration leaves an embarrassing stain on the legacy of the man who succeeded anti-apartheid icon Nelson Mandela.

The political turmoil has rattled the economy, with currency markets shaken by the decision of widely respected finance minister Trevor Manuel to resign with the other top officials. Manuel's spokesperson later made it clear that he was ready to serve the new administration.

Zuma said the decision to recall Mbeki had been "one of the most painful and difficult decisions" taken in the party's history.

The outgoing president had been increasingly at loggerheads with his party, which split into two camps behind him and Zuma when he made his failed bid to run for a third term as party president at a crunch ANC conference last year.

Address to the SACP Policy Conference by COSATU President Sidumo Dlamini

Randburg, 26 September 2008

General Secretary, comrade Blade Nzimande; Members of the Central Committee; Delegates; Leadership of the alliance present here; Leaders of the fraternal organisations; Distinguished guests; Comrades and friends:

On behalf of COSATU's two million members I bring greetings to the SACP on the occasion of this most important policy conference. You could not be meeting at a more crucial moment.

Yesterday we saw history being made when our comrade Kgalema Motlanthe was elected as President. COSATU is confident that Mkhuluwa will heal the divisions, which have plagued our movement in the recent past, and open a new chapter in which we build and strengthen unity within the ANC and its allies as we prepare for the 2009 elections.

We look forward to seeing his government starting to implement the ANC's watershed ANC 52nd Polokwane Conference resolutions and tackle the immense challenge to create jobs and eradicate poverty.

You are also meeting soon after Judge Chris Nicholson's ruling in the Pietermaritzburg High Court that largely confirmed everything that COSATU, the SACP and many others have been saying for years - that Comrade Jacob Zuma has been the victim of a political conspiracy, in which judicial structures and individuals were used improperly for factional political ends.

The other reason why this is such an appropriate time to be discussing policy is that in a week's time, our alliance will be holding its first ever Economic Summit which aims to finalise the road map for the next decade, and set South Africa on the next phase of its national democratic revolution.

The situation is however still very fragile and the outcome uncertain.

Post-Polokwane the Alliance faces several challenges. Hence the need for clarity of thought - which I know this conference will provide - and decisive action.

The Summit will provide an opportunity for the alliance partners to:
a) Forge a clear and unambiguous economic programme based on the Polokwane resolutions and our shared commitment to a pro-worker and pro-poor policy, which must then find expression in the Manifesto.
b) Unite the movement and take steps to lay the ghost of divisions to rest.
c) Ensure that cadres in government reinforce and support the ANC leadership and all policies emanating from Polokwane and broader Alliance policies.
d) Rally the majority of our society behind this programme for change.
e) Prepare the ANC to govern effectively and hit the ground running after the elections results have been announced.

Polokwane has heightened contestation around the content and direction of policy. Its outcome is a subject of contestation, intense debate and speculation with areas of contradiction, ambivalence, silences, and disagreements. Some want to interpret its resolutions as a mandate for major progressive policy shifts; others for no fundamental change at all.

Capital especially is definitely unnerved and is piling pressure on government - and the new ANC leadership - to 'stay the course', i.e. maintain existing 'market-friendly' policies.

On the other hand the Polokwane resolutions have raised the expectations of millions of our people that their plight will change for the better. And they are right - when they are compared to existing government policy and practice, the resolutions certainly do represent a major shift. They call for instance for economic policies centred on creation of decent work and poverty alleviation.

They also call for an agrarian development programme, to bring decent livelihoods to those who were historically most oppressed - farm workers and people in the former homelands. The priority is to ensure that land reform becomes a programme that uplifts our people's lives on a mass scale, in contrast to programmes that only enrich a few black commercial farmers.

Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the resolutions call for thoroughgoing democratisation of our society, from the state, to the economy and to communities. We must ensure that the state bureaucracy becomes more responsive to the masses, listens to the concerns of our members and the working class as a whole, and that our organisations are treated as the legitimate voice of our communities, not as one more in a queue of special interests.

Comrades, The transition from the old to the new ANC leadership has not been plain sailing. The Polokwane conference represented a revolt by ANC members against the top-down, near-autocratic style of leadership that opened a huge social and political gap between the leadership and membership.

The membership was by design reduced into spectators in the theatre of transformation. The ANC's capacity was, also by design, emasculated and its head office was left with no capacity to develop policy, monitor and enforce compliance with the decisions of the constitutional structures.

Power shifted from the ANC to government and society came to accept that the government is much more powerful and more important than the ANC and the Alliance. The NEC, dominated by cabinet, did not sufficiently prioritise mass work and political education. This is at the heart of many problems the movement faces today. This environment was the breeding ground of new cultures and traditions that were at the heart of divisions, including:

a) Adopting liberal stances on economic transformation, risking transforming the NDR into a process of cosmetic change, i.e. changing the colour of the ruling class while the material base remains virtually unchanged. Prioritisation of 'macro stability' subordinated the development programme for industrial development to the logic of tight macroeconomic policy, a lean state and trade liberalisation.

b) Leaving the power of the monopolies that dominated the economy during apartheid and white minority control entrenched. Broad Based BEE has not happened at the scale required to fundamentally change the patterns of ownership, but has co-opted a small elite, while reinforcing the power of white capital. Consequently the economy in the first decade has failed to respond to high levels of poverty, unemployment and inequalities.

c) Using the bourgeois media and embedded journalists to pursue factional battles within the movement, by leaking damaging information against opponents, character assassination of opponents, spreading untruths and damaging allegations in the media and launching media trials.

d) Using state institutions, the judiciary and SABC, to unfairly target opponents, which has led to untold damage to the standing of the judiciary in the eyes of many.

e) Using state power to distribute patronage and build a reward system for loyal friends, which led to the appointment of people with no capacity to lead important areas of transformation. This developed a culture where mediocrity was tolerated and talented individuals sidelined for factional reasons.

f) Corruption and deepening of the culture of accumulation with increasing blurring of lines between political and business interests. On occasions the divisions centred on frustrated expectations and the entitlement mentality to government tenders.

Progress post 1994 is noteworthy but is nowhere near achieving the basic demand of the NDR to build a non-racial, non-sexist and equal society. We need to prioritise job creation, agrarian transformation and meeting basic needs as the centrepiece of our economic policies. We must open a new chapter in Alliance relations to ensure mass involvement in the transformation project.

Ultimately, the mass base remains our insurance and source of power against the entrenched power of capital and those defending minority privileges. All efforts must therefore be directed at reinforcing and strengthening mass power, though this alone must be welded to the leverage enjoyed by the movement in the state and other spheres of influence.

A qualitative shift in our politics and practice will entail at least:
a) A functioning Alliance that determines strategy and deployment jointly.
b) The translation of ANC and Alliance policies into clear state programmes, and organisational arrangements to guide this.
c) Internal cohesion and unity of all formations of the Alliance.
d) A clear programme to reverse the cultures that have erupted in the recent past.
e) The creation of an apparatus to manage the day-to-day affairs of the Alliance.
f) A common approach to capital, domestic and international.
g) An organisational programme to build the ANC and the Alliance on the ground.

Ours is a revolutionary struggle that seeks to radically change our society.
For some the NDR constitutes the destination and for others it is a means to create a socialist future, but what unites all of us is the belief in fundamental and thoroughgoing change of society. We all agree that we are far from achieving the goals of the NDR but that the struggle must be advanced under changed domestic and international conditions.

Comrades,

The Economic Summit must emerge with:
a) A clear statement on how the Polokwane Resolutions will be taken forward and implemented.
b) An engagement with government, as agreed at the Alliance summit, on an approach to manage the transition over the next 6 to 7 months.
c) A manifesto which must elaborate the ANC and Alliance approach to transformation.

The campaign against crime and on health and education and the election must be used to launch a concerted Alliance strategy to revitalise our organisation at street and workplace levels, together with a mass political education programme to raise the level of consciousness of our people.

We need a united and coherent leadership particularly from the two socialist formations in the Alliance: the SACP and COSATU so we can act consciously to strengthen the current leadership of the ANC and the Alliance as a whole.

We must confront the sources of divisions and ensure that we fight for our space but without compromising ourselves in the leadership battles as we approach the list processes. The single biggest driver of division in the alliance remains on failure to agree on the role of the alliance and the coordination structures needed. At the May 2008 Alliance Summit we reached an agreement that the alliance as a whole is the political center. We need to define this beyond that political statement. COSATU demanded an Alliance Pact or an agreement on a clear programme of action and on governance. We are here to listen to the SACP debates on how they would take forward the demand for a reconfigured alliance.

COSATU is committed to take an initiative to strengthen the SACP's capacity.
We recognise the reality that we are a federation of unions that has set itself the task of achieving socialism. In our ranks we have communists but that does not make us a vanguard party. We are only a leader of the organised working class and our strategy involved making a qualitative contribution in the overall working class struggle. But all these do not make us a Communist Party. Now and again we must deal with the inherent contradictions of a trade union movement and on among other its reformist character. We therefore need a Party to play the role of providing political leadership together with our leading layer of cadres.

COSATU has a responsibility to build a strong a Communist Party whose ideological capacity and working class policy alternatives are beyond reproach. As thing stand now the party has only one full time officials and that has severely hampered its impact at all levels of engagement.

The climate under which we meet poses both threats and opportunities. We must grasp the nature of the threats and opportunities to re-unify the movement and reconnect with the mass base.

As this generation of activists we face the task to restore the dignity of the movement and prosecute the revolution to new heights. We can use the anti crime, election and the health and education campaigns as launch pads to reconnect with the mass base and build a popular movement for transformation.

Thank you for inviting us, COSATU wishes you the best as you confront the challenges we face.

jeudi 25 septembre 2008

Le taux du chômage en baisse cette année a Maurice

Le Matinal News Service - Port-Louis, 24 septembre

Le Bureau Central des Statistiques prévoit un taux de chômage de 7,8% pour l'année 2008 contre un taux de 8.5% en 2007.

Dans son dernier bulletin sur l'emploi et le taux de chômage publié mercredi, le BCS indique que le taux de chômage pendant le deuxième trimestre de 2008 est estimé à 7,4% contre 8,2% au premier trimestre de 2008 et 8.8% au deuxième trimestre de 2007. Il y avait de 41100 personnes sans emploi comprenant 13,600 hommes (33%) et 27 500 femmes (67%).

Environ 16 000 ou 39% des chômeurs avaient moins de 25 ans. Parmi 45% (18,600) des chômeurs étaient célibataires. Parmi les hommes, la majorité (8 900 ou 66%) était célibataire tandis que parmi les femmes, la majorité (17 900 ou 65%) n'était jamais mariée. Environ 8 500 ou 21% n'avaient pas atteint le niveau du Primary School Certificate (CPE) ou l'équivalent et 18 600 chômeurs (45%) n'avaient pas atteint le Cambridge School Certificate (SC) ou l'équivalent. Environ 12,200 (29%) avaient recherché du travail pendant plus d'une année. Environ 13 200 (32%) recherchaient un premier travail. Quelque 5 700 ou 14% des chômeurs étaient des chefs de familles.

Quelque 5 600 (14%) ont vécu dans des ménages avec des personnes sans emploi. Parmi les 943 300 personnes âgées de 16 ans et plus pendant le deuxième trimestre de 2008, environ 558 900 ou 59% étaient économiquement en activité, avec 517 800 (55%) ayant un travail et 41 100 chômeurs (de 4%). Les autres 384 400 personnes (41%) étaient inactives.

Les évaluations pour le trimestre correspondant en 2007 étaient de 503 000 (54%) employés, 48 600 chômeurs (de 5%) et 378 900 (41%) personnes inactives.

Le nombre de personnes employées pendant le deuxième trimestre de 2008 est estimé à 517 800 avec 341400 hommes et 176 400 femmes. Le ratio en termes de sexe à l'emploi est établi à approximativement deux hommes à une femme.

Pendant le deuxième trimestre de 2008, le secteur primaire comprenant l'agriculture et d'autres travaux a employé 8% de la population active.

Le secteur secondaire, qui inclut la fabrication, l'électricité, l'eau et la construction, a employé 33%, et le secteur tertiaire, qui couvre le commerce, les hôtels, restaurants, transport et toutes les autres entreprises du secteur tertiaire, a employé 59%.

Investissements de Rs 15 Md a Maurice en 2008

Le pays devrait compter des investissements de Rs 15 milliards en 2008. Des investissements canalisés essentiellement dans les secteurs clefs de l'économie mauricienne, notamment le tourisme, les projets "Integrated Resort Scheme" (IRS) et "Real Estate Scheme" (RES). 

Lors de la présentation du "World Investment Report 2008", mercredi, le directeur de "Planning and Policy" du Board of Investment (BOI), Dev Chamroo, a souligné que le niveau des investissements atteindra Rs 15 milliards à la fin de l'année alors qu'un montant de Rs 20 milliards était initialement prévu.

La présente édition du "World Investment Report 2008" est sous-titré "Transnational Corporations and the Infrastructure Challenge". 

Maurice est le premier pays à rendre public ce rapport qui fait état des données ayant trait aux investissements directs étrangers et analyse l´internationalisation des activités de recherche et de développement entreprises par les sociétés transnationales. Il se penche aussi sur l'internalisation des services sur le développement.

Manuel and deputy finmin agree to serve under new leadership

South Africa’s markets suffered a hiccup on Tuesday, when the Presidency announced that fourteen key Cabinet members, including well-regarded Finance Minister Trevor Manuel, would resign.

The rand fell to R8,27 to the dollar, however it stabilised following an announcement from National Treasury that Manuel, and the deputy Minister, Jabu Moleketi, who also resigned, would be willing to serve under the new governmental administration.

Eleven Cabinet Ministers and three deputies tendered their resignations on Tuesday, many feeling duty-bound to step down, as they were appointed President Thabo Mbeki, who resigned on Sunday, after he was recalled by the ANC.

Initial reaction to the news of the numerous Cabinet resignations sent the South African rand tumbling by more than 2,5% and bonds dropped sharply, while the blue-chip JSE Top-40 index plunged over 4%.

However, by 15:00 the rand and bonds recouped some of their earlier losses. At the end of trading, the top-40 index closed down 3,98% to 22 794,14 points and the All-Share index lost 3,75% at 24 923,34 points.

Government bonds tumbled on news of Manuel's resignation, with the yield on the 2015 government bond surging 20 basis points to 9,12% before retreating to 8,94% at the close of business.

Newswire Reuters quoted a Johannesburg-based trader as stating that the JSE had also been hit by last-minute selling of some stocks in the auction, which takes place after the market has closed.

"It may be because of the public holiday tomorrow, there's a bit of position squaring. The risks of holding positions even overnight at the moment are so high, let alone over two days ... Who knows what the hell is going to happen in the US tomorrow," he said.

Fears that economic policies, which gave South Africa its longest period of economic growth may be unravelled, were set aside when the ruling party said that the Ministers who had indicated that they would serve under new leadership, would be asked to continue in their positions.

Fitch Africa and Middle East department director Veronica Kalema told Engineering News Online that although the uncertainty had increased and an immediate sell-off was to be expected, the South African institutions, and Treasury in particular, were “strong and could function and survive without Manuel”.

South Africa’s Fitch rating was BBB+, and Tuesday’s events were not likely to affect this sovereign rating.

“Uncertainty has increased, Manuel has been a key player in the past administration, and the resignation of half the Cabinet is not a small thing. The key issue is that the new administration must manage these uncertainties, and ensure that the transition is smooth,” said Kalema.

“The situation is still very fluid at the moment, so give it another six months and then everyone will know what is going on, and things will start to settle down,” she added.

Efficient Group chief economist Dawie Roodt stated that “things will keep on ticking along as they have been for some time, considering that Manuel introduced a number of strong structures and procedures at the Department of Finance in the last few years, and those structures and procedures will still be there”.

‘NO CRISIS’
The ANC said it wished to ensure continuity in government up to and beyond the 2009 election. “The ANC can confirm that there is no crisis,” said secretary-general Gwede Mantashe in a statement.

The seven Ministers who indicated they would continue to serve under a new president, and which the ANC has asked to do so, were: Manuel; Correctional Services Minister Ngconde Balfour; Public Service and Administration Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi; Public Works Minister Thoko Didiza; deputy Foreign Affairs Minister Aziz Pahad; Moleketi; and deputy Correctional Services Minister Loretta Jacobus.

Six members of the executive confirmed their resignations, and indicated that they would not be available to continue in their positions under new leadership. These were: Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka; Defence Minister Mosiuoa Lekota; Minister in the Presidency, Essop Pahad; Intelligence Minister Ronnie Kasrils; Public Enterprises Minister Alec Erwin and Provincial and Local Government Minister Sydney Mufamadi.

The ANC said it would move speedily to fill these vacancies once the new President has assumed office, and reiterated that the process of governance would continue as normal.

Parliament would appoint an acting president on Thursday, when Mbeki’s resignation would become official.

Mbeki he was told by the ANC to quit before the end of his term next year, after High court Judge, Chris Nicholson, inferred that there might have been high-level political inference in a corruption case against party leader Jacob Zuma.

In the case of Minister of Science and Technology Mosibudi Mangena, the ANC and his organisation, the Azanian People's Organisation would conduct further discussions.

Finance Minister Trevor Manuel; Public Enterprises Minister Thoko Didiza; Intelligence Minister Ronnie Kasrils; Science and Technology Minister Mosibudi Mangena; Public Services and Administration Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi; Minister in the Presidency Essop Pahad; Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka; Correctional Services Minister Ngconde Balfour; Defence Minister Mosiuoa Lekota;Local Government Minister Sydney Mufamadi; and Public Enterprises Minister Alec Erwin
Finance Minister Trevor Manuel; Public Enterprises Minister Thoko Didiza; Intelligence Minister Ronnie Kasrils; Science and Technology Minister Mosibudi Mangena; Public Services and Administration Minister Geraldine Fraser-Moleketi; Minister in the Presidency Essop Pahad; Deputy President Phumzile Mlambo-Ngcuka; Correctional Services Minister Ngconde Balfour; Defence Minister Mosiuoa Lekota;Local Government Minister Sydney Mufamadi; and Public Enterprises Minister Alec Erwin

SA identifies key drivers to affect development with ‘Scenario 2025’ report


Shifts in global economic and political power, resource constraints, the country's economic growth, governance, social fabric, and technology were likely to be the key driving forces (KDFs) that would affect South Africa's development up to 2025.

This was identified by the Policy Coordination and Advisory Services (PCAS) unit of the Presidency, as part of its Scenarios 2025: The future we chose? report.

PCAS stated that these scenarios were not predictions of South Africa's future or roadmaps, but rather "informed speculation" about some plausible paths that the country could have taken between 2009 and 2025.

"We are not saying this is what is going to happen. [These scenarios] identify probable, but plausible, trajectories for the evolution of South African society and the global environment as it impacts on us," the Presidency Policy Unit head Joel Netshitenze, said at the launch of the report in Pretoria on Tuesday.

PCAS had conducted 65 interviews with people from a range of backgrounds, including the media, businesses, government, trade unions, academics and civil society, among others.

Out of these interviews, the unit identified 24 factors that would shape the future of the country, which was then further defined to form the seven KDFs that were likely to affect South Africa's development.

Firstly, the unit noted that the industrialisation and growth of China and India, as well as their growing demand for resources and markets was changing the world, making a shift in global economic power a possibility.

The report pointed out that China's gross domestic product (GDP) was expected to be similar to that of the US by 2025, if current trends continued.

The US's GDP was currently more than double the GDP of China and India combined.

This meant that China's GDP, over a period of three decades, would have to grow at double the rate of the GDP of the US or the European Union by 2025.

The report also noted that it appeared that the growth of Brazil, Russia, India and China, as well as the "oil bounty" of Middle Eastern countries, would do more for Africa's economic growth in the next 20 years than 60 years of investment and aid from Western countries had done.

However, the unit noted that there were also dangers, as China and Russia could be "as cavalier in their disregard for democracy and human rights as the US and ex-colonial powers have been in the past".

Further, Netshitenze commented that the fastest growing economies in the world would be those that increased their ability to trade, adding that trade would account for more than half of global GDP by 2025.

The unit also noted that by 2025 Africa's "economic clout" would also have grown significantly, but that South Africa may not be the main driver behind this.

The report noted that other continental powers could grow faster, or could be led more effectively than South Africa.

Meanwhile, the report also noted that a shift in global political powers was the second KDF, with shifts in international power relationships partially reflecting a shift in economic power.

The report explained that the US's military budget remained larger than those of the next 15 biggest economies in the world, combined.

Despite the US expected to still have the "most formidable" armed force by 2025, this would be on a much smaller scale than in 2008.

Further, PCAS noted in the report that a multi-lateral approach to global problems was likely to have been followed by 2025, which would have led to an expansion of early intervention mechanisms, the rapid deployment of peacekeepers and more united action by the UN, the G8, and other similar organisations.

It was expected that, over the next decade, there would be fewer armed conflicts in the world.

However, this could be offset by possible conflicts over resources, the report stated.

Meanwhile, South Africa could, in future, no longer be the leader in "reshaping elements of international discourse", with other power blocs in East and West Africa challenging its role in this regard.

South Africa was also likely to pursue more narrow national and regional interests in future, noted the report.

The report, meanwhile, asserted that nuclear, hydrogen, solar and wind energy would be the predominant emerging energy sources by 2025, with the world moving away from fossil fuels.

However, it explained that this transition to new fuel sources might not be managed well, leading to higher food production costs and negative effects on international tourism.

Further, Netshitenze said that the growing shortage and deterioration of other critical resources, such as soil, air and water, were likely to become global issues.

LOCALLY MIRRORED DRIVERS

PCAS explained that three additional KDFs would mirror the aforementioned global drivers, in the local arena.

Firstly, South Africa's economic performance would be a key driver, with the speed of growth, the competitiveness and productiveness of the local economy, and the sustainability of job creation all important aspects that the country had to consider.

Further, the report questioned whether the decline in South Africa's manufacturing, mining and agricultural sectors, in relation to their relative contribution to GDP, could be arrested and reversed and how this would be done.

In addition, it stated that South Africa's relationship with Africa would be a very important factor in the country's economic growth.

Secondly, governance in South Africa was another KDF, with the report stating that the country's ability to deal with health, education, crime and corruption would be important going forward.

Also, government would have to have the ability to promote competitiveness in order to grow the economy, and should not inhibit innovation, productivity and social inclusion.

Further, the report stated that government had the resources to "fashion" a basic sense of nationhood and some sense of human solidarity, which would cut across gender, race and ethnic divisions.

The creation of social cohesion would, thus, be another KDF for South Africa's development going forward.

TECHNOLOGY

Meanwhile, Netshitenze noted that technology would be an important, crosscutting KDF, which would assist in "promoting democracy and openness".

It was expected that billions of people across the world would have access to always-on, high bandwidth communications devices by 2025.

The report explained that while access to technology was likely to remain uneven, the poor were embracing technology, "exploiting it as a key avenue out of disconnectedness and penury".

Further, the report noted that South Africa, in particular, could benefit from the increased use of fuel-cell technology.

The country could also benefit if the "oil age" gave way to the "hydrogen age" and if South Africa's pebble bed nuclear technology was more widely applied, stated the report.

THE REPORT

PCAS stated that this report was a "companion piece" to the Fifteen Year Review report.

It would be supplied to all tiers of all government departments, who could then test their policies against these scenarios to see whether there were any potential future pitfalls or options that they could adopt or avoid.